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Inbox: RCB kürzt Wolford-Kursziel


Wolford
Akt. Indikation:  2.54 / 3.14
Uhrzeit:  23:00:50
Veränderung zu letztem SK:  -0.70%
Letzter SK:  2.86 ( 4.38%)

21.08.2017

Zugemailt von / gefunden bei: RCB (BSN-Hinweis: Lauftext im Original des Aussenders, Titel (immer) und Bebilderung (oft) durch boerse-social.com aus dem Fotoarchiv von photaq.com)

Wolford confirmed at REDUCE, TP EUR 16.0 - FY 16/17 in line with guidance, major change looms

- We confirm our REDUCE call while we decrease our TP to EUR 16.0 from EUR 19.0 as we lower our operational forecasts
- While the FY 16/17 operating loss of EUR 15.7 mn fell within the guided range the company adjusted FY 15/16 figures, decreasing the operating result from a profit of EUR 1.6 mn to a loss of EUR 2.9 mn
- Despite a decent start of 17/18e year the company expects only a modest yoy revenue growth and an operating loss, while a return to positive operating earnings is expected only by 18/19e
- Mr. Ashish Sensarma, CEO since January 2015, has left the management board on August 1 and Mr. Axel Dreher (previously CFO), assumed his responsibilities
- The core shareholders are in the midst of a process for the selection of interested parties

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Following the release of corporate news on August 8, 2017 including the results for 2016/17 we decrease our TP to EUR 16.0 from EUR 19.0 while confirming our REDUCE recommendation for Wolford. While the FY 16/17 operating loss of EUR 15.7 mn fell within the guided range burdened by revaluations and restructuring costs, the company adjusted the FY 15/16 figure, decreasing the operating result from a profit of EUR 1.6 mn to a loss of EUR 2.9 mn. As the main shareholders seek an exit in an open process and a potential equity financing looms we remain cautious with regard to prospects for minority investors. We are not surprised by the changes at the top given the challenges the company has been facing with the implementation of the restructuring plan and a planned sale by the main shareholder group.
 
FY 16/17 results: The top line shrank by 5.0% yoy to EUR 154.3 mn, while the operating loss worsened to EUR 15.7 mn (within the guided EUR 15-19 mn range) from EUR 2.9 mn (adjusted) in FY 15/16. The bottom line loss amounted to EUR 17.9 mn vs a loss of EUR 10.7 mn (adjusted) in FY 15/16. The company will release full annual consolidated statements on August 24.
 
Changes at the helm: Mr. Ashish Sensarma, CEO since January 2015, has left the management board on August 1 and Mr. Axel Dreher (previously CFO), assumed his responsibilities (strategy, marketing, production). The head of the finance department, Ms. Brigitte Kurz took over the role of CFO as well as the responsibility for HR, IT, legal and investor relations.
 
Outlook: On June 9 Wolford communicated that the main shareholder group (WMP Familien-Privatstiftung, Sesam Privatstiftung and its subsidiary the "M. Erthal & Co." Beteiligungsgesellschaft m.b.H.), as well as related parties announced the intention to sell their stake (ca 65%). The shareholders have hired a financial advisor and started a process for the selection of interested parties. The purchase of the majority stake by a future core shareholder shall be combined with an equity financing transaction the size of which has not yet been determined. On July 11, Wolford announced that it has achieved an extension of its credit lines until June 30, 2018 and secured a bridge financing of up to EUR 10 mn for seasonal liquidity requirements. Thus the company has managed to secure financing for the current financial year. We would expect the company and core shareholders to be focussed on achieving a sale within the next 6 months, otherwise we would expect another extension of financing to be required.
 
Valuation: We have lowered our forecasts for 17/18e-19/20e. We base the valuation on our DCF model and decrease our one-year target price to EUR 16.0 per share which results in a confirmed REDUCE recommendation. Our valuation is based on our fundamental assessment of the company which is on the brink of a major shareholder change which could present various scenarios for minority investors.
       

Company im Artikel

Wolford

Für Zusatzliquidität im Orderbuch der Wolford-Aktien sorgen die Raiffeisen Centrobank AG als Specialist sowie die Market Maker Hauck & Aufhäuser und Oddo Seydler Bank AG, Klick auf Institut/Bank öffnet Übersicht.



Wolford (Fotocredit: Michael J. Plos)



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(BSN-Hinweis: Lauftext im Original des Aussenders, Titel (immer) und Bebilderung (oft) durch boerse-social.com aus dem Fotoarchiv von photaq.com)

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