14.12.2017

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Top 18 stocks for 2018 – Maintaining a diversified approach

Outlook & Strategy: Into 2018, we expect economic momentum to remain positive which should provide equities overall and reflationary themes in particular with an ongoing support. Consequently the risk of higher bond yields will stay intact for now, until a more uneven macro environment may start to develop during spring. Against this backdrop, we maintain a slight tilt towards cyclical/value themes and remain somewhat cautious regarding exposure towards interest-rate sensitive stocks. As we project selectivity and volatility in equity markets to increase gradually, we continue to focus on the medium-term favorites in each of our covered sectors in order to weather potential drawdowns in individual constituents with a rather diversified setup. In this context, we still prefer companies with convincing idiosyncratic triggers (expected positive EPS surprises, business transformation, M&A) or an attractive/improving growth outlook that will unlock some fresh re-rating potential.

- Ins & Outs: We already have included Emmi on 4 December and Brenntag on 11 December. With this publication we add AROUNDTOWN, Bayer , Daetwyler and Siemens to the list and remove Linde , Lonza, Phoenix Mecano and RHI Magnesita as we see better opportunities elsewhere. Following these adjustments our Top Picks list now comprises 18 stocks.

- Performance: Since the last update on 12 October 2017 our Top Picks listdelivered a performance of 2.7%. Because our benchmark index STOXXEurope 600 was up only 0.7% this results in an outperformance of 2.0%.Since inception on 7 January 2013 our portfolio returned 166.1% in absolute terms and 108.4% in relative terms.

- Tops & Flops: Since 12 October, the highest Alpha has been delivered by RHI Magnesita (+29.7%), TOM TAILOR (+15.5%) and Linde (+11.6%). Contrary to that, Heidelberger Druck (-20.6%) retraced part of its earlier outperformance and also VTG (-8.6%), All for One Steeb (-8.1%) plus CORESTATE Capital (-7.4%) posted an underperformance. Since their respective inclusion, VTG (+51.4%), Heidelberger Druck (+32.2%), RHI Magnesita (+29.7%) and Lonza (+25.9%) delivered the highest Alpha.

Companies im Artikel

Bayer

Linde

RHI

Siemens

Liste, Check, Checklist, Checkliste, Info, Information, Zettel (Bild: Pixabay/TeroVesalainen https://pixabay.com/de/checkliste-überprüfen-liste-marker-2077018/ )

9016

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192407

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