Ich stimme der Verwendung von Cookies zu. Auch wenn ich diese Website weiter nutze, gilt dies als Zustimmung.

Bitte lesen und akzeptieren Sie die Datenschutzinformation und Cookie-Informationen, damit Sie unser Angebot weiter nutzen können. Natürlich können Sie diese Einwilligung jederzeit widerrufen.





Inbox: RCB bleibt dabei: Atrium ist ein Hold


03.10.2017

Zugemailt von / gefunden bei: RCB (BSN-Hinweis: Lauftext im Original des Aussenders, Titel (immer) und Bebilderung (oft) durch boerse-social.com aus dem Fotoarchiv von photaq.com)

Atrium confirmed at HOLD, TP EUR 4.40 - Attractive dividend yield but lack of growth

- Recurring earnings forecasts raised by more than 10% in 2017e and 2018e
- NAV projections cut between 3.5% and 4.4% over the entire forecast horizon
- No structural progress for the portfolio from acquisitions or disposals
- HOLD rating maintained

We raise our recurring earnings projections mainly due to the announcement of a cost savings program but we also cut our forecast for the group´s NAV amid the payment of a special dividend. Atrium manages its asset base very well and continues with its re-development projects for its existing shopping malls in Poland, which will lead to organic growth of rental income. At the same time we think there is no progress in terms of portfolio structure from meaningful acquisitions or profitable disposals. Hence we maintain our unchanged target price of EUR 4.4 and HOLD rating given the lack of projected growth and in absence of upside triggers.
 
Legacy legal case settlement: In March 2017 Atrium European Real Estate signed a framework agreement with AdvoFin Prozessfinanzierung and Salburg Rechtsanwalts GmbH that it expects will resolve a significant majority of the Austrian legacy legal issues. The agreement will enable clients of AdvoFin who purchased Austrian Depository Certificates (ADC) of Meinl European Land in the past to resolve their claims. If all eligible ADC investors opt to participate, the maximum payment would be EUR 44 mn according to the release. A total provision of EUR 51.6 mn was recognized for all related legacy legal claims on the balance sheet of Atrium in 2Q 2017. We think the framework agreement is good news, because it removes a very big legal risk and associated cost for the group going forward.
 
Changes to our estimates: Following the 1H 2017 results release, the announcement of a cost savings program of EUR 10 mn and the payment of a special dividend of EUR 0.14/share in June we updated our estimates for recurring earnings and NAV accordingly. On balance we raise our recurring earnings forecasts by 14% in 2017e, by 12% in 2018e and by 9% in 2019e. Elsewhere we cut our projections for NAV between 3.5% and 4.4% over the entire forecast period given the payment of a special dividend. Currently the group´s development activities are focussed on modernisation and extension of existing shopping malls in Poland for a remaining development cost of EUR 229 mn until 2021. Morever, we also model cash proceeds of EUR 211 mn from the disposal of all Hungarian assets and 10% of the Polish assets over the next five years.
 
Limited valuation upside: Based on our new estimates for 2018e the shares of Atrium trade at a P/FFO (x) of 13.1 and a P/B(x) of 0.8, which appears cheap relative to the property sector but in line with the average of its own valuation multiples over the last 3 years and we see no reason for a re-rating at the moment. The prospective dividend yield of the company is the highest in our coverage universe and hence we think that Atrium remains very attractive for yield investors. At the same time we forecast hardly any growth of recurring earnings (FFO) or NAV in the foreseeable future, which we think limits the share price upside.

Atrium Promenada (Warsaw, Poland) - top 10 properties of Atrium European Real Estate (Bild: Atrium, http://www.aere.com/Downloads.aspx) © www.shutterstock.com



Aktien auf dem Radar:UBM, Agrana, CA Immo, Austriacard Holdings AG, EuroTeleSites AG, Polytec Group, Frequentis, Rosgix, EVN, Uniqa, Österreichische Post, AT&S, Rosenbauer, Lenzing, Addiko Bank, Frauenthal, SBO, Verbund, BTV AG, Athos Immobilien, Oberbank AG Stamm, Amag, Flughafen Wien, CPI Europe AG, Semperit, Telekom Austria, Münchener Rück, RWE, Allianz, DAIMLER TRUCK HLD..., Fresenius Medical Care.

(BSN-Hinweis: Lauftext im Original des Aussenders, Titel (immer) und Bebilderung (oft) durch boerse-social.com aus dem Fotoarchiv von photaq.com)

Random Partner #goboersewien

Schwabe, Ley & Greiner (SLG)
Das Unternehmen SLG wurde 1988 gegründet und ist spezialisiert auf die Beratung im Bereich Finanz- und Treasury-Management. Wir sind Marktführer im gesamten deutschsprachigen Raum und verfügen über einen soliden Partnerkreis. Diesen haben wir zur Stärkung des Unternehmens kontinuierlich erweitert.

>> Besuchen Sie 54 weitere Partner auf boerse-social.com/goboersewien

Ausgewählte Jobs von PIR-Partnern


Meistgelesen
>> mehr





PIR-Zeichnungsprodukte
Newsflow
>> mehr

Börse Social Club Board
>> mehr
    #gabb #2074

    Featured Partner Video

    Börsepeople im Podcast S24/10: Erich Kocina

    Erich Kocina ist Chef vom Dienst der Tageszeitung Die Presse und Öffi-Auskenner. Mit ihm spreche ich auch über die Idee, dass ein Wiener-U-Bahn-Teil an die Wiener Börse gehen könnte (wild hergeleit...

    Books josefchladek.com

    Richard Avedon
    Nothing Personal
    1964
    Atheneum Publishers

    Raymond Thompson Jr
    It’s hard to stop rebels that time travel
    2025
    Void

    Matteo Girola
    Viewfinders
    2025
    Studiofaganel

    Siri Kaur
    Sistermoon
    2025
    Void

    Dean Garlick
    100 Sculptural Circumstances
    2025
    Lodge Press

    Inbox: RCB bleibt dabei: Atrium ist ein Hold


    03.10.2017, 3760 Zeichen

    03.10.2017

    Zugemailt von / gefunden bei: RCB (BSN-Hinweis: Lauftext im Original des Aussenders, Titel (immer) und Bebilderung (oft) durch boerse-social.com aus dem Fotoarchiv von photaq.com)

    Atrium confirmed at HOLD, TP EUR 4.40 - Attractive dividend yield but lack of growth

    - Recurring earnings forecasts raised by more than 10% in 2017e and 2018e
    - NAV projections cut between 3.5% and 4.4% over the entire forecast horizon
    - No structural progress for the portfolio from acquisitions or disposals
    - HOLD rating maintained

    We raise our recurring earnings projections mainly due to the announcement of a cost savings program but we also cut our forecast for the group´s NAV amid the payment of a special dividend. Atrium manages its asset base very well and continues with its re-development projects for its existing shopping malls in Poland, which will lead to organic growth of rental income. At the same time we think there is no progress in terms of portfolio structure from meaningful acquisitions or profitable disposals. Hence we maintain our unchanged target price of EUR 4.4 and HOLD rating given the lack of projected growth and in absence of upside triggers.
     
    Legacy legal case settlement: In March 2017 Atrium European Real Estate signed a framework agreement with AdvoFin Prozessfinanzierung and Salburg Rechtsanwalts GmbH that it expects will resolve a significant majority of the Austrian legacy legal issues. The agreement will enable clients of AdvoFin who purchased Austrian Depository Certificates (ADC) of Meinl European Land in the past to resolve their claims. If all eligible ADC investors opt to participate, the maximum payment would be EUR 44 mn according to the release. A total provision of EUR 51.6 mn was recognized for all related legacy legal claims on the balance sheet of Atrium in 2Q 2017. We think the framework agreement is good news, because it removes a very big legal risk and associated cost for the group going forward.
     
    Changes to our estimates: Following the 1H 2017 results release, the announcement of a cost savings program of EUR 10 mn and the payment of a special dividend of EUR 0.14/share in June we updated our estimates for recurring earnings and NAV accordingly. On balance we raise our recurring earnings forecasts by 14% in 2017e, by 12% in 2018e and by 9% in 2019e. Elsewhere we cut our projections for NAV between 3.5% and 4.4% over the entire forecast period given the payment of a special dividend. Currently the group´s development activities are focussed on modernisation and extension of existing shopping malls in Poland for a remaining development cost of EUR 229 mn until 2021. Morever, we also model cash proceeds of EUR 211 mn from the disposal of all Hungarian assets and 10% of the Polish assets over the next five years.
     
    Limited valuation upside: Based on our new estimates for 2018e the shares of Atrium trade at a P/FFO (x) of 13.1 and a P/B(x) of 0.8, which appears cheap relative to the property sector but in line with the average of its own valuation multiples over the last 3 years and we see no reason for a re-rating at the moment. The prospective dividend yield of the company is the highest in our coverage universe and hence we think that Atrium remains very attractive for yield investors. At the same time we forecast hardly any growth of recurring earnings (FFO) or NAV in the foreseeable future, which we think limits the share price upside.

    Atrium Promenada (Warsaw, Poland) - top 10 properties of Atrium European Real Estate (Bild: Atrium, http://www.aere.com/Downloads.aspx) © www.shutterstock.com





    BSN Podcasts
    Christian Drastil: Wiener Börse Plausch

    SportWoche ÖTV-Spitzentennis Podcast: Lukas Neumayer win2day-Spieler der Woche und jetzt blickt alles zum WTA 500 nach Linz




     

    Bildnachweis

    1. Atrium Promenada (Warsaw, Poland) - top 10 properties of Atrium European Real Estate (Bild: Atrium, http://www.aere.com/Downloads.aspx) , (© www.shutterstock.com)   >> Öffnen auf photaq.com

    Aktien auf dem Radar:UBM, Agrana, CA Immo, Austriacard Holdings AG, EuroTeleSites AG, Polytec Group, Frequentis, Rosgix, EVN, Uniqa, Österreichische Post, AT&S, Rosenbauer, Lenzing, Addiko Bank, Frauenthal, SBO, Verbund, BTV AG, Athos Immobilien, Oberbank AG Stamm, Amag, Flughafen Wien, CPI Europe AG, Semperit, Telekom Austria, Münchener Rück, RWE, Allianz, DAIMLER TRUCK HLD..., Fresenius Medical Care.


    Random Partner

    Schwabe, Ley & Greiner (SLG)
    Das Unternehmen SLG wurde 1988 gegründet und ist spezialisiert auf die Beratung im Bereich Finanz- und Treasury-Management. Wir sind Marktführer im gesamten deutschsprachigen Raum und verfügen über einen soliden Partnerkreis. Diesen haben wir zur Stärkung des Unternehmens kontinuierlich erweitert.

    >> Besuchen Sie 54 weitere Partner auf boerse-social.com/partner


    Atrium Promenada (Warsaw, Poland) - top 10 properties of Atrium European Real Estate (Bild: Atrium, http://www.aere.com/Downloads.aspx), (© www.shutterstock.com)


    Useletter

    Die Useletter "Morning Xpresso" und "Evening Xtrakt" heben sich deutlich von den gängigen Newslettern ab. Beispiele ansehen bzw. kostenfrei anmelden. Wichtige Börse-Infos garantiert.

    Newsletter abonnieren

    Runplugged

    Infos über neue Financial Literacy Audio Files für die Runplugged App
    (kostenfrei downloaden über http://runplugged.com/spreadit)

    per Newsletter erhalten


    Ausgewählte Jobs von PIR-Partnern


    Meistgelesen
    >> mehr





    PIR-Zeichnungsprodukte
    Newsflow
    >> mehr

    Börse Social Club Board
    >> mehr
      #gabb #2074

      Featured Partner Video

      Börsepeople im Podcast S24/10: Erich Kocina

      Erich Kocina ist Chef vom Dienst der Tageszeitung Die Presse und Öffi-Auskenner. Mit ihm spreche ich auch über die Idee, dass ein Wiener-U-Bahn-Teil an die Wiener Börse gehen könnte (wild hergeleit...

      Books josefchladek.com

      Lisette Model
      Lisette Model
      1979
      Aperture

      Daido Moriyama
      Japan, A Photo Theater (English Version
      2018
      Getsuyosha, bookshop M

      Daido Moriyama
      Farewell Photography (English Version
      2018
      Getsuyosha, bookshop M

      Anton Bruehl
      Mexico
      1933
      Delphic Studios

      Richard Avedon
      Nothing Personal
      1964
      Atheneum Publishers